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Posted By Topic: Baccarat Strategy: My personal take       - Views: 10243
Song_Song
14-Jul 2010 Wednesday 1:44 PM (5036 days ago)               #1
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Seeing that there are quite a number of Baccarat enthusiasts around, thought that I could share the 2 strategies I adopt with bros in here.

STRATEGY 1:

As we all know, there's no 100% sure win formula/ strategy to this game (well, to MOST games in fact), but to experience a streak of 3-4 wins in a row is definitely possible.

There're different ways people hit such streaks, be it the so called "Dragon" (straight consecutive wins on one side; eg banker,banker, banker, banker, banker or player, player, player, player, player. These streaks may range from 4 to as much as 20+), the "Ding-Dong" (winning side is constantly alternating; eg banker, player, banker, player, banker, player for most of the shoe). These patterns are highly unstable, no matter what those old bird punters say, as Baccarat, like most games, is a game of mathematical probability.

Regardless of the Dragon or the Ding Dong pattern, our only goal is to try to make four consecutive wins.

With that in mind, here's the strategy I've adopted for the past 2 years in Aussie:

Step 1: Bet $100. If it's a win, move on to step 2. If you lose, reset to step 1.

Step 2: Bet $300 (leave the winning from step 1 on the table, and top up $100). If you win, move on to step 3.If you lose, reset to step 1.

Step 3: Bet $200 (After winning in step 2, you would have $600 on the table. Retrieve $400 and leave $200 on the table). If you win, move on to step 4. If you lose, reset to step 1.

Step 4: Bet $600 (After winning in step 3, you would have $400 on the table, $400 in your hand. Leave the winning on the table, and top up $200 from your hand, leaving $200 in your hand (capital). If you win, can pack bag go home, or reset to step 1. If you lose, reset to step 1 too.

 

 

If you have won from step 1 to step 4, you would have a net profit of $1200. (You would have $1400 worth of chips from these four games, but remember you have put in your capital of $100 from step 1, and topped up another $100 in step 2. So net profit is $1200.)

If you lose the first step, the loss is $100.

Assuming you win the first, but lose the second step, your net loss is $200 ($100 from step 1, plus step 2 top up another $100).

If you win the second, but lose the third step, you have a net profit of $200 (at the end of step 2, you would have $600 worth of chips. Deducting the loss of $200 from step 3 and your capital of $100 fr step 1 and $100 fr step 2, net profit is $200)

If you win the first three steps but lose the fourth step, you'll break even. (Total chips at end of step 3 would be $800, step 4 bet $600 and lose, so left $200, which is your original capital.)

 

For bros with less capital, you may reduce the figures by half...meaning Step 1: $50, Step 2: $150, Step 3: $100, Step 4:$300.

 

This method works with 3 conditions:

1: be PATIENT!

Start with $100. If you lose a few hands, relax and leave the table, or observe firstIf you progressed through steps 2 or 3 and lose next hand, reset back to $100.

 

2: know when to LEAVE!

Both good and bad luck don't last forever, although bad luck seems to always last longer for most of us. If you have set to make a certain amount from the beginning, leave when you've hit the target.The longer you stay, the higher the odds of losing your winnings and even your capital.

If you are in the Red, ensure that you keep an amount, like 1/3 or 1/2 of your capital, take a breather, change tables, walk around, or even  leave the place n return later. These would help you to cool down and not double up or showhand.

3: know your boundaries: NEVER BRING ALONG YOUR ATM CARD!

I've started playing 2 years ago with $1500, and I've stuck to this budget whenever I visit the casino. Along with setting a target to win, I've also learnt to set a limit to my losses, which is my $1500. If you find yourself in the situation of hovering between 60-80% of your capital and not even recouping your original profits for a long time, take a break and resume later. Or just leave with your 60%-80% of capital. 

Sure, there're days when I lose my $1500 STRAIGHT in 15 bets, but that hardly happens. And when that happens, I'll just leave. Remember: the CASINO is always OPEN!

 

 

Additional Tip:

When taking a break after losing abit or scouting around for tables, look for people who are SUPER ONG (Lucky). They are usually not hard to spot; there would be tonnes of pple crowding around them, screaming their heads off. Just observe a few rounds, and FOLLOW these pple. Same goes for tables with "DRAGON" streaks reflected on their screens. These 2 things are things I usually incorporate with my strategy. usually i am able to hit my target win amt of $2000-$3000 and leave within 30 mins of playing at that table.

 

Hope my post will help bros who play Baccarat. Will post strategy 2 soon. Cheers.

Remember: Patience is the KEY! 

 


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Song_Song
14-Jul 2010 Wednesday 3:03 PM (5036 days ago)            #2
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Strategy 2

Before I begin, I must disclaim that this is hardly a strategy, but a good way to buff up your winnings with higher odds.

I'm not talking about betting on "tie" or "pairs" here. What I'm talking about is the lucrative "Dragon Bonus."

This should only be attempted if you have secured substantial winnings from past visits, or if you have made a windfall beyond what you've originally targeted, for eg there were times when I have made an additional profits beyond my target winning amount for the day due to a lucky tie i struck or similar events. 

With the extra winnings, I would wager $25 units sporadically on both the player and banker, and hope for one of the following to happen (except for the last one of course):

 

 

 

 

Dragon Bonus Pay Table

 

 

 

 

EventPays

 

 

 

 

Win by 9 points (non-natural): 30 to 1

 

 

 

 

Win by 8 points (non-natural): 10 to 1

 

 

 

 

Win by 7 points (non-natural): 6 to 1

 

 

 

 

Win by 6 points (non-natural): 4 to 1

 

 

 

 

Win by 5 points (non-natural): 2 to 1

 

 

 

 

Win by 4 points (non-natural): 1 to 1

 

 

 

 

Natural winner1 to 1

 

 

 

 

Natural tie Push

 

 

 

 

All other outcomes: LOSE

 

 

 

 

This whole dragon bonus affair is fully dependent on luck and probability of course. Of course there were times when I set aside $300 to $600 of extra winnings that I have won on top of my target amount and lost them, but there were equally times when I turned these extra winnings into amounts that more or less matched my target for the day, or even doubling it. For instance There were times when I struck the $750 with my $25 wager that paid me 30-1, not once, but several times. More common ones would be the 2-1, 4-1 and 6-1 payouts. Nonetheless, I must remind all bros here not to bet on this unless you have spare chips to spare.

Hope this helped too!

Cheers!

This message was edited by Song_Song on 14-Jul-2010 @ 3:06 PM


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diamond punter
14-Jul 2010 Wednesday 9:03 PM (5036 days ago)            #3
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THANKS FOR YOUR ADVISE.GOOD LUCK Wink Wink Wink Wink



ishak

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MySeLF
18-Jul 2010 Sunday 8:57 PM (5032 days ago)            #4
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thankss.Will take note ..









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N!eFeng
20-Jul 2010 Tuesday 5:19 PM (5030 days ago)            #5
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looks good but easier said then done. Blush




The Dark Knight RisesTDKR

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missing_kryptonite
21-Jul 2010 Wednesday 12:48 PM (5029 days ago)            #6
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thanks bro...i bookmarked your strategy already..i really agree with you when you say there's no 100% sure formula..this is a trial and error experience...

goodluck bro.let u know when i use your strategy and won :D



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jj21
27-Jul 2010 Tuesday 6:08 PM (5023 days ago)            #7
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quote originally posted by Bay Siow:


this 1 sounds like a modified martingale play........good luck to all.






its actually the reverse of what other people used.
in normal martingale, people bet an amt and start to double up when losing. when they win, they win abit but when they lose, the loss is magnified.

in this method that he mentiond, is actually a reverse of the normal martingale. meaning, when he lose, he goes back to square one. but when win, the wins can be magnified to a certain extent.

this method is just a controlling factor of how much to stop the win and to stop the loss. does not really help in increasing the winning percentage at all.



J.J

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Soulrain
26-Aug 2010 Thursday 9:30 AM (4994 days ago)            #8
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u play at aussie where ba? i also play at aussie.



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ithunk
17-Nov 2010 Wednesday 1:56 AM (4911 days ago)            #9
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quote originally posted by Song_Song:


Seeing that there are quite a number of Baccarat enthusiasts around, thought that I could share the 2 strategies I adopt with bros in here.



STRATEGY 1:



As we all know, there's no 100% sure win formula/ strategy to this game (well, to MOST games in fact), but to experience a streak of 3-4 wins in a row is definitely possible.



There're different ways people hit such streaks, be it the so called "Dragon" (straight consecutive wins on one side; eg banker,banker, banker, banker, banker or player, player, player, player, player. These streaks may range from 4 to as much as 20+), the "Ding-Dong" (winning side is constantly alternating; eg banker, player, banker, player, banker, player for most of the shoe). These patterns are highly unstable, no matter what those old bird punters say, as Baccarat, like most games, is a game of mathematical probability.



Regardless of the Dragon or the Ding Dong pattern, our only goal is to try to make four consecutive wins.



With that in mind, here's the strategy I've adopted for the past 2 years in Aussie:



Step 1: Bet $100. If it's a win, move on to step 2. If you lose, reset to step 1.



Step 2: Bet $300 (leave the winning from step 1 on the table, and top up $100). If you win, move on to step 3.If you lose, reset to step 1.



Step 3: Bet $200 (After winning in step 2, you would have $600 on the table. Retrieve $400 and leave $200 on the table). If you win, move on to step 4. If you lose, reset to step 1.



Step 4: Bet $600 (After winning in step 3, you would have $400 on the table, $400 in your hand. Leave the winning on the table, and top up $200 from your hand, leaving $200 in your hand (capital). If you win, can pack bag go home, or reset to step 1. If you lose, reset to step 1 too.



 



 



If you have won from step 1 to step 4, you would have a net profit of $1200. (You would have $1400 worth of chips from these four games, but remember you have put in your capital of $100 from step 1, and topped up another $100 in step 2. So net profit is $1200.)



If you lose the first step, the loss is $100.



Assuming you win the first, but lose the second step, your net loss is $200 ($100 from step 1, plus step 2 top up another $100).



If you win the second, but lose the third step, you have a net profit of $200 (at the end of step 2, you would have $600 worth of chips. Deducting the loss of $200 from step 3 and your capital of $100 fr step 1 and $100 fr step 2, net profit is $200)



If you win the first three steps but lose the fourth step, you'll break even. (Total chips at end of step 3 would be $800, step 4 bet $600 and lose, so left $200, which is your original capital.)



 



For bros with less capital, you may reduce the figures by half...meaning Step 1: $50, Step 2: $150, Step 3: $100, Step 4:$300.



 



This method works with 3 conditions:



1: be PATIENT!



Start with $100. If you lose a few hands, relax and leave the table, or observe firstIf you progressed through steps 2 or 3 and lose next hand, reset back to $100.



 



2: know when to LEAVE!



Both good and bad luck don't last forever, although bad luck seems to always last longer for most of us. If you have set to make a certain amount from the beginning, leave when you've hit the target.The longer you stay, the higher the odds of losing your winnings and even your capital.



If you are in the Red, ensure that you keep an amount, like 1/3 or 1/2 of your capital, take a breather, change tables, walk around, or even  leave the place n return later. These would help you to cool down and not double up or showhand.



3: know your boundaries: NEVER BRING ALONG YOUR ATM CARD!



I've started playing 2 years ago with $1500, and I've stuck to this budget whenever I visit the casino. Along with setting a target to win, I've also learnt to set a limit to my losses, which is my $1500. If you find yourself in the situation of hovering between 60-80% of your capital and not even recouping your original profits for a long time, take a break and resume later. Or just leave with your 60%-80% of capital. 



Sure, there're days when I lose my $1500 STRAIGHT in 15 bets, but that hardly happens. And when that happens, I'll just leave. Remember: the CASINO is always OPEN!



 



 



Additional Tip:



When taking a break after losing abit or scouting around for tables, look for people who are SUPER ONG (Lucky). They are usually not hard to spot; there would be tonnes of pple crowding around them, screaming their heads off. Just observe a few rounds, and FOLLOW these pple. Same goes for tables with "DRAGON" streaks reflected on their screens. These 2 things are things I usually incorporate with my strategy. usually i am able to hit my target win amt of $2000-$3000 and leave within 30 mins of playing at that table.



 



Hope my post will help bros who play Baccarat. Will post strategy 2 soon. Cheers.



Remember: Patience is the KEY! 



 





yes this is a good strategy


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KlavierJoenessGavin
18-Nov 2010 Thursday 9:39 PM (4909 days ago)            #10
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Good money management strategy but it seems your method is a vicious cycle where it makes a gambler to continue betting until u reach step 4. It would be better if we can practise our own discretion and leave at anytime within the 4 steps.



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You Are Smarter Than You Think!


The Only Way Out Is To Win!




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